Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004637 0.004887 0.005143 0.005427 0.005733 0.006053 0.006414
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004258 0.004636 0.005042 0.005513 0.006045 0.006632 0.007329
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003974 0.004421 0.004915 0.005507 0.006201 0.006993 0.007974
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003736 0.004227 0.004782 0.005463 0.006284 0.007250 0.008488
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003510 0.004024 0.004618 0.005361 0.006277 0.007384 0.008842
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003327 0.003859 0.004483 0.005280 0.006281 0.007519 0.009193
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003213 0.003768 0.004430 0.005288 0.006391 0.007783 0.009717
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003015 0.003564 0.004227 0.005098 0.006233 0.007691 0.009757
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002933 0.003500 0.004192 0.005116 0.006341 0.007947 0.010275
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002912 0.003509 0.004249 0.005252 0.006608 0.008424 0.011129
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002806 0.003406 0.004157 0.005187 0.006598 0.008520 0.011440
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002726 0.003333 0.004100 0.005165 0.006645 0.008693 0.011870
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002633 0.003240 0.004016 0.005104 0.006638 0.008794 0.012205
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002600 0.003225 0.004032 0.005182 0.006828 0.009189 0.013017
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002537 0.003168 0.003992 0.005177 0.006898 0.009408 0.013567
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002466 0.003097 0.003928 0.005137 0.006913 0.009543 0.013986
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002380 0.003004 0.003830 0.005042 0.006843 0.009544 0.014180
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002305 0.002923 0.003748 0.004967 0.006798 0.009578 0.014432
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002263 0.002886 0.003724 0.004976 0.006877 0.009811 0.015037
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002161 0.002764 0.003578 0.004801 0.006669 0.009574 0.014802
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002128 0.002736 0.003563 0.004817 0.006757 0.009818 0.015440
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002130 0.002758 0.003620 0.004942 0.007020 0.010363 0.016664
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002075 0.002696 0.003555 0.004882 0.006985 0.010406 0.016956